Insight Article Desktop Banner
 
 
Consilient Observer
  •  
December 21, 2020

WACC and Vol

Insight Video Mobile Banner
 
December 21, 2020

WACC and Vol


Consilient Observer

WACC and Vol

Share Icon

December 21, 2020

 
 

Valuation for Companies with Real Options

 
 
  • The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and volatility (vol) generally move in rough lockstep, but 2020 is unusual because the cost of capital is well below its historical average and volatility is well above its historical average.
  • Businesses that have real option value benefit from a lower discount rate on their current operations and from the higher volatility of the options available to them.
  • In this report, we define real options, discuss what kinds of businesses are likely to have them, review the valuation implication of a particularly noteworthy set of conditions in 2020, and finish with a method to incorporate real options analysis into traditional valuation.
 
Article Team Image
 
Counterpoint Global’s culture fosters collaboration, creativity, continued development, and differentiated thinking.
 
 

Subscribe to Counterpoint Global Insights - Consilient Observer

Please enter the code sent to your email address.

Valid for 10 minutes only

Confirm
Email Not Sent
 
 
Submit
 
 
 
 
 

DEFINITIONS OF TERMS

Free cash flow (FCF) is a measure of financial performance calculated as net operating profit after tax minus investment in growth. FCF represents the cash that a company is able generate after laying out the money required to maintain or expand its asset base.

The cost of capital is the rate at which you discount future cash flows in order to determine the value today. The weighted average cost of capital blends the opportunity cost of the sources of capital, typically debt or equity, with the relative contribution of those sources.

The discount rate is the rate at which you discount future cash flows in order to determine the value today.

The equity risk premium, also referred to as simply equity premium, is the excess return that investing in the stock market provides over a risk-free rate, such as the return from government treasury bonds. This excess return compensates investors for taking on the relatively higher risk of equity investing.

The risk-free rate is the theoretical interest rate that an investor can earn on an investment that carries zero risk.

The S&P 500® Index measures the performance of the large cap segment of the U.S. equities market, covering approximately 75% of the U.S. equities market. The Index includes 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy.

Correlation is a statistical measure of how two variables move in relation to each other.

The Russell 1000® Index measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index. The Russell 3000® Index measures the performance of the largest 3,000 U.S. companies representing approximately 98% of the investable U.S. equity market. The Russell 3000 Index is constructed to provide a comprehensive, unbiased and stable barometer of the broad market and is completely reconstituted annually to ensure new and growing equities are reflected.

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

The views and opinions are those of the author as of the date of publication and are subject to change at any time due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all investment personnel at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) and its subsidiaries and affiliates (collectively the Firm”), and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers.

This material is for the benefit of persons whom the Firm reasonably believes it is permitted to communicate to and should not be forwarded to any other person without the consent of the Firm. It is not addressed to any other person and may not be used by them for any purpose whatsoever. It expresses no views as to the suitability of the investments described herein to the individual circumstances of any recipient or otherwise. It is the responsibility of every person reading this material to fully observe the laws of any relevant country, including obtaining any governmental or other consent which may be required or observing any other formality which needs to be observed in that country.

This material is a general communication, which is not impartial, is for informational and educational purposes only, not a recommendation to purchase or sell specific securities, or to adopt any particular investment strategy. Information does not address financial objectives, situation or specific needs of individual investors. 

Any charts and graphs provided are for illustrative purposes only. Any performance quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal.

Prior to making any investment decision, investors should carefully review the strategy’s relevant offering document. For the complete content and important disclosures, refer to the article’s PDF.

 

This is a Marketing Communication.

Check the background of our firm and registered representatives on FINRA's BrokerCheck

It is important that users read the Terms of Use before proceeding as it explains certain legal and regulatory restrictions applicable to the dissemination of information pertaining to Morgan Stanley Investment Management's investment products.

The services described on this website may not be available in all jurisdictions or to all persons. For further details, please see our Terms of Use.

Not FDIC Insured—Offer No Bank Guarantee—May Lose Value
Not Insured By Any Federal Government Agency—Not A Deposit

Subscriptions    •    Privacy & Cookies    •    Your Privacy Choices Your Privacy Choices Icon    •    Terms of Use

©  Morgan Stanley. All rights reserved.

Morgan Stanley Distribution, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC.