US Short Duration Strategy

US Short Duration Strategy

US Short Duration Strategy

 
 
Summary

The US Short Duration Strategy seeks current income, preservation of principal and liquidity by investing in a diversified portfolio of securities issued by the U.S. Government and its agencies. To help achieve this objective, the team invests in U.S. Government securities and investment-grade corporate bonds with maturities of less than three years.

 
 
Investment Approach
Philosophy

The team employs a value-based investment philosophy. They believe that significant inefficiencies can exist in the fixed income markets and, as value managers, they look for situations where the market’s implied forecasts are extreme and position client portfolios to capture the value inherent in these situations. The team seeks to add value and exploit inefficiencies across eligible sectors by combining traditional analysis with innovative technology.

 
Differentiators
Integrated Investment Approach

The team’s investment approach integrates strong qualitative analysis with robust quantitative valuation tools at every stage of the investment process, providing a robust credit management process.

Research with Portfolio Management

Strategic investment decisions are made by a team of experienced investors who continually conduct ongoing research to be at the forefront of fixed income research and are thought leaders in this field. Opinions from all members of the team are debated to ensure that portfolios reflect the team’s best ideas.

Global Research

An emphasis on a team-based approach to research and investment allows investors to benefit from the combined insight and expertise of MSIM’s global fixed income team. Approximately 80 percent of MSIM’s research is generated in-house, and this is supplemented by Morgan Stanley sell-side and third party research.

 
 
 
Investment Process
1
Macro Analysis:

The team employs a top-down approach to asset class allocation. The allocation decision starts with macroeconomic analysis. They believe that market participants often misjudge the likely paths of monetary policy, inflation, and credit quality—key paths that, for the most part, are aligned with the business cycle or inflation cycle. The team employs fundamental and quantitative analyses to identify and exploit any mispricing in an effort to generate superior returns over the long term. Mispricing often occurs when market expectations are excessive and unlikely to be realized.

2
Yield-Curve Analysis:

The team utilizes a proprietary term structure model that imputes the market expectations of inflation and monetary policy from market prices. These forecasts are compared to the likely range of outcomes—taking into account fiscal policy, monetary policy, general business conditions and historical precedent—to determine yield-curve positioning.

3
Valuation Analysis:

The risk parameters established by the portfolio management team guide the portfolio managers in implementing security selection decisions. To attain these targets, the portfolio managers refer to the value opportunities already identified by the various research teams in making their security selection decisions. Portfolio managers have the ultimate responsibility for fulfilling portfolio targets while simultaneously ensuring that all selected securities are compliant with the investment guidelines.

4
Portfolio Construction:

The team's research focuses on identifying value in as many opportunities as possible. Portfolios are built security by security with vigorous attention paid to assessing and comparing a wide variety of possible investments.

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Portfolio Manager  
Stella Ma
Executive Director
8 years industry experience
 

Effective December 1, 2023, Brian Ellis and Stella Ma were added as Portfolio Managers on the Strategy, and Neil Stone and Matt Dunning are no longer serving as Portfolio Managers.

 
 
 
 
 

RISK CONSIDERATIONS  

Diversification does not protect you against a loss in a particular market; however it allows you to spread that risk across various asset classes.

There is no assurance that a portfolio will achieve its investment objective. Portfolios are subject to market risk, which is the possibility that the market value of securities owned by the portfolio will decline. Market values can change daily due to economic and other events (e.g. natural disasters, health crises, terrorism, conflicts and social unrest) that affect markets, countries, companies or governments. It is difficult to predict the timing, duration, and potential adverse effects (e.g. portfolio liquidity) of events. Accordingly, you can lose money investing in this strategy. Please be aware that this strategy may be subject to certain additional risks. Fixed-income securities are subject to the ability of an issuer to make timely principal and interest payments (credit risk), changes in interest rates (interest-rate risk), the creditworthiness of the issuer and general market liquidity (market risk). In the current rising interest-rate environment, bond prices may fall and may result in periods of volatility and increased portfolio redemptions. Longer-term securities may be more sensitive to interest rate changes. In a declining interest-rate environment, the portfolio may generate less income. Mortgage- and asset-backed securities are sensitive to early prepayment risk and a higher risk of default and may be hard to value and difficult to sell (liquidity risk). They are also subject to credit, market and interest rate risks. Certain U.S. Government securities purchased by the Strategy, such as those issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are not backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. It is possible that these issuers will not have the funds to meet their payment obligations in the future. Foreign securitiesare subject to currency, political, economic and market risks. The risks of investing in emerging market countries are greater than risks associated with investments in foreign developed markets. Restricted and Illiquid securities may be more difficult to sell and value than publicly traded securities (liquidity risk). Derivative instruments can be illiquid, may disproportionately increase losses and may have a potentially large negative impact on the portfolio’s performance. 

This communication is only intended for and will be only distributed to persons resident in jurisdictions where such distribution or availability would not be contrary to local laws or regulations.

There is no guarantee that any investment strategy will work under all market conditions, and each investor should evaluate their ability to invest for the long-term, especially during periods of downturn in the market. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

A separately managed account may not be appropriate for all investors. Separate accounts managed according to the Strategy include a number of securities and will not necessarily track the performance of any index. Please consider the investment objectives, risks and fees of the Strategy carefully before investing. A minimum asset level is required. For important information about the investment manager, please refer to Form ADV Part 2.

Any views and opinions provided are those of the portfolio management team and are subject to change at any time due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Furthermore, the views will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect information that subsequently becomes available or circumstances existing, or changes occurring. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all portfolio managers at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) or the views of the firm as a whole, and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers.

All information provided has been prepared solely for information purposes and does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The information herein has not been based on a consideration of any individual investor circumstances and is not investment advice, nor should it be construed in any way as tax, accounting, legal or regulatory advice. To that end, investors should seek independent legal and financial advice, including advice as to tax consequences, before making any investment decision.

OTHER CONSIDERATIONS

The indexes are unmanaged and do not include any expenses, fees or sales charges. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Any index referred to herein is the intellectual property (including registered trademarks) of the applicable licensor. Any product based on an index is in no way sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by the applicable licensor and it shall not have any liability with respect thereto.

The ICE BofAML 1-Year U.S. Treasury Note Index is an unmanaged index tracking U.S. government securities. The index is unmanaged and does not include any expenses, fees or sales charges. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

The information presented represents how the portfolio management team generally implements its investment process under normal market conditions.

Morgan Stanley Investment Management is the asset management division of Morgan Stanley.               

 

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