Fixed Income
Emerging Markets Domestic Debt Strategy
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Emerging Markets Domestic Debt Strategy |
Fixed Income
Emerging Markets Domestic Debt Strategy
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The team believes that the growth of local currency Domestic Debt represents the next phase in development for Emerging Market economies. The team aims to capture the upside potential of Emerging Market Domestic Debt securities through: country, interest rate, currency, and security analysis.
Global presence |
The team is supported by Morgan Stanley’s presence in nearly every major financial market and region, drawing on the scale and scope of the firm’s global franchise to help manage risks and identify opportunities throughout market cycles. |
Experience and complementary skill set |
The team is comprised of investment professionals with complementary skills sets, which facilitate informed, well-researched investment decisions. MSIM has managed dedicated EMD assets since 1993, with the Head of the EMD effort being involved since 1997. |
Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s structure |
The firm’s structure allows for entrepreneurial flexibility, equipping the investment team with the liberty to respond quickly to market developments and swiftly implement investment ideas. |
1 | Macro analysis |
The team begins with a top-down analysis of the global macro environment, its impact on EM, and the market’s appetite for risk. The output of the analysis is an overall risk target for all of our portfolios relative to their respective benchmarks. |
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2 | Sovereign, currency, interest rate, yield curve analysis |
The team’s objective is to analyze countries' ability and willingness to pay and identify countries that exhibit positive rates of change using frameworks that meld economic, political, and social assessments. We also analyze domestic factors, such as growth and inflation, to determine if they are likely to shape the behavior of interest rate and yield curves, and exchange rates in emerging economies. We then compare our fundamental views with the market’s to identify value opportunities, as well as to use them as a basis for simulations. Interest rate (duration) and currency investment decisions are made independently. |
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3 | Security selection |
The team’s models provide perspective on market valuations in different time periods, enabling them to identify potential mispricing and alpha opportunities. Each potential security is analyzed through a variety of valuation metrics. |
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4 | Portfolio construction |
The team uses a Positioning & Sizing framework that takes into consideration the total return potential of investment alternatives, the volatility of returns and correlation of such potential positions to assess risk, and a conviction factor about the return/risk trade-off based on a comprehensive review of event risk (including near-term political factors) and the market technicals such as planned issuance, investors’ positioning, and outlook for asset class flows. |
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5 | Risk management |
Risk management is integrated throughout the team’s investment process. An independent team also monitors portfolio adherence to guidelines, overall risk levels, and composition. |