Insights
Big Picture - Return of the 60/40
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Big Picture
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April 08, 2024
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April 08, 2024
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Big Picture - Return of the 60/40 |
The 60/40 portfolio, defined here as a mix of 60% U.S. equities and 40% U.S. Treasury bonds, saw a rollercoaster ride down 17.5% in 2022 and up 17.2% in 2023.1 Two hundred years of historical analysis suggests there is an 80% probability of positive returns in the two years following a year of negative returns for both stocks and bonds. We believe mean reversion of returns and diversification benefits make this portfolio a reliable starting point for asset allocation.
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Deputy CIO, Solutions & Multi Asset Group, Head of Macro & Thematic Research, Emerging Markets, Portfolio Manager, Passport Equity
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