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Consilient Observer
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März 22, 2023

Confidence

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März 22, 2023

Confidence


Consilient Observer

Confidence

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März 22, 2023

 
 

Methods to Assess Confidence Under Uncertainty

  • Probability and confidence are distinct concepts, and we believe it is useful for investors to separate them.
  • For example, the price of two potential investments may present the same discount to expected value, but confidence in the probabilities for one may exceed those of the other.
  • That nuance may be relevant for determining the appropriate weighting of securities within a portfolio or evaluating diversification.
  • Scholars who study analytic confidence describe three relevant dimensions that investors can use to complement their probability assessments and sharpen their ranking of opportunities.
 
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Das Counterpoint Global Team ist bestrebt, langfristige Investitionen in einzigartige Unternehmen zu tätigen, deren Marktwert aus fundamentalen Gründen deutlich steigen kann. Ihre Portfolios sind in der Regel konzentriert und unterscheiden sich von ihren Benchmarks. Das Team besteht aus 26 Personen, darunter 16 Investment-Profis und zwei Disruptive Change-Forscher. Die Kultur des Teams fördert Zusammenarbeit, Kreativität, eine kontinuierliche Entwicklung und differenziertes Denken.
 
 

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